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Thread: Dxy

  1. #1

    Default Dxy




    Euro/USD parity reached

    EUR/USD - Euro US Dollar

    Real-time FX

    1.0015 -0.0024 (-0.24%)
    July 12, 2022 00:22:56
    -
    Real-time Data, Currency in USD
    Last edited by yellowsnow; 07-11-2022 at 11:26 PM.

  2. #2

    Default

    kudo to brent johnson, he called it in 2018 and again in 2019
    he was initially off and lost a 1oz GML to peter schiff on a bet on dxy as USD dropped in 2020.
    Brent should have double down to win back his GML and more from peter schiff

    Filmed on May 29, 2018 in San Francisco. Published on June 6th, 2018.


    reasons:
    - US will tighten while the other countries continue to QE into their economy
    - asset price will go up (IE inflation is what we got)
    - interest rate will go up ( is what we got)
    Last edited by yellowsnow; 07-11-2022 at 11:54 PM. Reason: repost yt link of full interview

  3. #3

    Default

    update video

    ~July 6, 2022

  4. #4

    Default Rocks in the pond = logs on the commode

    Stag Nations. Global contagion. Letting the unproductive drag down everything.

    MMT has to encourage consumption even if it just buys bombs and waste.

  5. #5

    Default

    Ron Paul was recently making noise about the ECB policies & how they effect the US. Basically, he was saying that if they had acted more responsibly, then the US would be worse off. He seemed to miss that the BOJ is still printing & is boosting the US even more.

    This got me to consider the other currencies in the DXY basket.

    GBP - 1 15 USD, hasn't been lower since 1985, was over $2 at one point between then & now.
    SEK - .094 USD, a 20 year low, still in downtrend, The high was around 0.17 in 2008
    EUR - at parity, hasn't been below parity since 2002, was well over 1.5 USD in 2008, saw lows around 0.7 in 1985 & around .84 in 2000, It began circulating as paper currency in 2002, at which time charts show it to be around 0.88 USD, It rose well after that and was strong until now.
    JPY - 0.007 USD, down from 0.008 about a year ago, The lowest it's been since 1998, The high around .013 was in 2011, another high near .012 was in 1995, Back in 1982, it was around 0.0038, do you remember when Toyotas were cheap?
    CHF - 1.04 USD, It's been within a dime of parity since around 2002, usually a little above, back in 1985 it was like 0.37
    CAD - 0.76 USD, In 2007 & 2011 it was briefly above parity. 2006 - 2014 were it's strong years. The current level has been typical since around 2016 +/- just over a nickel, Pre 2016 volatility was greater seeing a range from the low 0.60's to above parity when looking at a chart that goes back to the 1980's

    Right now, everything is trending down against the USD except the CHF (Swiss Franc). Those downtrends are softening the inflation that is seen in the USA. If it were not for the currency imbalances being in their current direction, a man walking into a McDonald's in NY would be more likely have an experience similar to a man walking into a Harvey's in Toronto, ordering a burger, fries & Coke, handing over a $20 bill & receiving only coins as change.
    Last edited by SilverPalm; 09-14-2022 at 07:41 AM.
    “The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession.”
    Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, January 2008
    This is no longer posted in the Fed Minutes of January 2008, but still quoted here - https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna22592939. The FOMC minutes still quote MR. Reifschneider. as stating the same thing.

  6. #6

    Default

    “The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession.”
    Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, January 2008
    This is no longer posted in the Fed Minutes of January 2008, but still quoted here - https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna22592939. The FOMC minutes still quote MR. Reifschneider. as stating the same thing.

  7. #7

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