You cannot ignore economic reality.

Look at the big worries of the Fed chairman, Jerome Powell:

---huge debt
---balance sheet to be reduced (QT)
---government shutdown starting to show in economic data

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/10/fed-...f-us-debt.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/10/powe...y-smaller.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/10/fed-...omic-data.html