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Thread: Market Action

  1. #601
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    How stocks are manipulated.

    https://stockcharts.com/articles/tra...s-use-302.html

    Trading day:

    Morning: Opening gap -panic reaction to news

    9:30 am through 11:00 am - amateur hour

    11:00 am through 4:00 am-professional time

  2. #602
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    Warren Buffett: Beating Expectations.

    This is from the annual letter of Warren Buffett to shareholders.

    https://www.financialexpress.com/inv...stors/2992744/

    Quote:

    Beating "expectations" is heralded as a managerial triumph.
    That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate
    numbers; only a deep desire to deceive is required.

  3. #603

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    Quote Originally Posted by oak333 View Post
    Warren Buffett: Beating Expectations.

    This is from the annual letter of Warren Buffett to shareholders.

    https://www.financialexpress.com/inv...stors/2992744/

    Quote:

    Beating "expectations" is heralded as a managerial triumph.
    That activity is disgusting. It requires no talent to manipulate
    numbers; only a deep desire to deceive is required.
    Very good article oak333, it has a number of gems (of lessons). A few are subtle and easily over looked. I read it twice to be sure I got the most out of it. Thanks for posting it.

    "That point is crucial: Charlie and I are not stock-pickers; we are business-pickers."

  4. #604
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    Why stocks rallied so far in the last few months ?

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/th...?siteid=yhoof2

    In spite of bad economic and financial conditions, stock rallied
    in the last few months. Why ?

    The secret: central banks have added 1 US $ trillion liquidity into
    the financial system.

    The bulk of it was added by China.

    The Fed, ECB, and Bank of England advertised they will drain
    the ocean of liquidity buy in reality they added liquidity.

    While the Fed decreased its bond holdings, another component of
    the balance sheet -US banking reserves-increased. So the amount
    of money the banks could push into the financial system actually
    increased.

  5. #605
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    Quantitative Tightening ? What Quantitative Tightening ?

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/brandon...h=d2cef44759aa

    Q: Why are stocks rallying in spite of economic and financial conditions ?
    A: Because the liquidity is actually increasing

    The stability of international government bonds matters more to central bankers
    than stemming inflation.

    While busy talking about hiking interest rates, the real pivot in monetary
    policy has slipped right under their noses.

    Global liquidity -how much money is in the financial system-has been in an
    upswing since October 2022. That explains why stocks, bitcoin, and gold
    have rallied in spite of central banks warnings about rate hikes. New capital
    has come through Fed's repo facility and China's intervention into money
    markets.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The main determinants of stocks returns are Liquidity and Sentiment.
    It looks like both can be "influenced."

    https://macro-ops.com/stanley-drucke...macro-margins/

  6. #606
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    Wall Street is good at narratives. You have to know how to
    read them.

    The stories can last for months and even years. That come with a "clock"
    the event which will tell the investors when the story ends.

    A "gun" is an event which changes everything. Etc.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wa...?siteid=yhoof2

  7. #607
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    In spite of economic, financial, and all kinds of conditions,
    stocks still go up. David Rosenberg calls it "speculative lunacy."

    https://markets.businessinsider.com/...t-rates-2023-3

    The Fed just signaled that a recession will come soon.

    https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/da...173222825.html

  8. #608
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    Did TA (Technical Analysis) forecast a decline in regional bank stocks ?
    Actually it did- a lot.

    Fundamental indicators like the death cross ( 50 DMA crossing below 200 DMA),
    OBV, and PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator-similar to MACD) clearly indicated
    ---well in advance----a decline of the regional banks.

    https://stockcharts.com/articles/dec...nings-912.html

    My note: The only Inverse ETF I could find for regional banks was WDRW,
    discontinued in 2019.

  9. #609
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    They say the bank system has been stabilized.

    What do the charts say ?

    https://schrts.co/gJpxrnwK

    No comment.

  10. #610
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    You can take an online course in AI. It is only 20 $.

    You can eg write poetry, compose music etc.

    You can cheat at your exams and essays etc.

    https://www.udemy.com/course/chatgpt...SAAEgL2qfD_BwE

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