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Thread: Market Action

  1. #581
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    Jan 2017
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    PBR-Petrobras

    From analyst report on Yahoo Finance Plus:

    "The cumulative dividends paid in 2022 amount to 6.40 US $
    per share (about 50 % dividend yield). The policy of the company
    is to return to shareholders 60 % of FCF (free cash flow)."

  2. #582

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    "The company's net debt hit a low of $34.4 billion before increasing to $47.5 billion on the back of some massive dividend payments. We'd like to see the company keep its debt more in the $20-30 billion level given the geopolitical risk that it has historically faced in its operations that could hurt its ability to raise debt."

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/456...ting-downgrade
    Current investment plan is post #1606, Free S & P sentiment index (Post #564), https://www.ndr.com/invest/infopage/S573 SSD = Simply Safe Dividends Post #1162, http://simplysafedividends.com Sentiment Wave Analysis, https://www.elliottwavetrader.net/ I do a lot of analysis on the Seeking Alpha site. https://seekingalpha.com/ Heck I could be totally wrong!

  3. #583
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    This Petrobras company, PBR-NYSE, is amazing.

    It has a forward dividend of 73 % ! Unbelievable.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PBR?p=PBR

    And its earnings are increasing. It is actually a profitable
    company, with good future prospects.

    The government of Brazil is the owner. As a state company,
    it can hardly go bankrupt.

    As the analysts are saying, its stock price is going down due
    to political overhangs. Brazil has elected a new President, Lula,
    who might deal with PBR differently from the former President.

  4. #584

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    Lula will be at PETROBRAS monday morning, stock went down on news. What he says may be entirely different than what he does.

  5. #585

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    Glad I held off on buying this stock. Petrobras down 10% today and 20% since last post. It just seemed too good to be true, all positive reviews etc. The main hook being the dividend. If the politicians get into this company they could lower the dividend. I'm holding off until I know more from this foreign owned company.

  6. #586
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    Jim Cramer to stocks investors:

    "The Fed is not your friend. If anything, it is your enemy."

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/15/cram...on-stocks.html

  7. #587
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    BlackRock: throw out your old investment playbook.

    A new regime is starting, of greater macro and market volatility.

    The last era of four decades of stable activity and stable inflation is over.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/black...190219280.html

  8. #588

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    Quote Originally Posted by oak333 View Post
    BlackRock: throw out your old investment playbook.

    A new regime is starting, of greater macro and market volatility.

    The last era of four decades of stable activity and stable inflation is over.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/black...190219280.html
    B.R. should know since they are the ones pushing for the great reset.
    American Legion Preamble: https://www.legion.org/preamble

  9. #589
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    Interesting quotes from The Globe and Mail today December 16, 2022

    ----major central banks, including the Fed, are having to fight
    narratives of relief (ie reducing the rate hikes) that we already
    have peak rates. H. Mehta-Senior European economist)

    ----a market rally would be an easing of financial conditions
    that jars with the idea that the central banks need to get interest
    rates into restrictive territory H. Mehta-Senior European economist.

    From Tom Czitron, a fund manager:
    ----historically interest rates are exceptionally low compared
    with the current inflation.

    ----the interest rates of 2020's were a historical abberation

    ----over the three last centuries the average long term bond
    yield (in USA, Holland, UK) was 4 %. It mostly ranged from
    2 % to 6 % until the great inflationary period that began in
    1960's and ended in 1982. Today the long term bond yield
    is smaller than 4 %.

  10. #590
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    Where are we now in the market cycle ?

    The report below gives the answer. Just look at the chart
    at Four Stages of Asset Prices:

    https://thetechnicaltraders.com/afte...-to-walk-away/

    We are between Stage 3 Topping and Stage 4 Decline.
    Usually this area (pointed by the arrow) is called Complacency
    (name not shown on the chart)

    The report was written in November 2022, when a holiday
    rally was widely anticipated. It was spoiled by a hawkish Fed.

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