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Thread: Short selling is an obvious way of benefiting from market corrections.

  1. #41
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    It now looks like a short seller paradise. The inverse ETF's I mentioned
    before are doing great: SPXS, UVXY, and many others like QID.....

  2. #42

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    Quote Originally Posted by oak333 View Post
    JP Morgan: expect a correction of 40 %:

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/it...ack-2018-03-08
    You should note that this is the expectation for the next 2 to 3 years. The current pullback should stay above 2350 S & P.

  3. #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by Redrum View Post
    You should note that this is the expectation for the next 2 to 3 years. The current pullback should stay above 2350 S & P.
    I believe in the works of W. D. Gann, a market genius of the past century.

    According to him a correction can decrease the max index by 50 %.

    Confirmation: TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) Index was:

    15,047 on 21-May-2008
    7,567 on 10-Mar-2009
    This is almost 50 % sharp.

    You can check this up for S & P 500 and the DOW.
    The data are easily available.

  4. #44

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    Quote Originally Posted by oak333 View Post
    I believe in the works of W. D. Gann, a market genius of the past century.

    According to him a correction can decrease the max index by 50 %.

    Confirmation: TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) Index was:

    15,047 on 21-May-2008
    7,567 on 10-Mar-2009
    This is almost 50 % sharp.

    You can check this up for S & P 500 and the DOW.
    The data are easily available.
    Yes, I have been investing through 3 bear market drops. This is not going to be one of them based on market factors such as sentiment and the ongoing GDP numbers. I do expect a bear market drop within the next two years but going big into shorts is not a correct market position currently in my opinion.

  5. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by Redrum View Post
    Yes, I have been investing through 3 bear market drops. This is not going to be one of them based on market factors such as sentiment and the ongoing GDP numbers. I do expect a bear market drop within the next two years but going big into shorts is not a correct market position currently in my opinion.
    Well, what do the facts say ? Eg SPXS, short S & P 500:

    http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/adv...eq=1&compidx=a

    Facts speak of themselves.

  6. #46

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    Facts to one group of investors is nothing more than speculation to another or outright fabrication to yet another group of investors. I present another opinion to yours and over a period of time we both could "prove" we were right.

  7. #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by oak333 View Post
    I believe in the works of W. D. Gann, a market genius of the past century.

    According to him a correction can decrease the max index by 50 %.

    Confirmation: TSX (Toronto Stock Exchange) Index was:

    15,047 on 21-May-2008
    7,567 on 10-Mar-2009
    This is almost 50 % sharp.

    You can check this up for S & P 500 and the DOW.
    The data are easily available.
    Well, I have checked the data for S & P 500.
    1,418 on 07-May-2008
    720 on 11-Mar-2009

    Again, 50 % correction almost sharp.
    The timing for S & P 500 and TSX (Toronto Stock
    Exchange) looks close.

    W. D. Gann was right again

  8. #48

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    Quote Originally Posted by oak333 View Post
    Well, I have checked the data for S & P 500.
    1,418 on 07-May-2008
    720 on 11-Mar-2009

    Again, 50 % correction almost sharp.
    The timing for S & P 500 and TSX (Toronto Stock
    Exchange) looks close.

    W. D. Gann was right again
    I totally agree that bear market drops can be very deep and in fact I believe the next one could take the market down 60% if there is a parabolic rise in the not too distant future. I believe that the current market volatility is a standard correction. I expect that there will be new S & P/DOW highs hit before a larger bear market drop occurs, perhaps as early as 2019.

  9. #49

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    Quote Originally Posted by Redrum View Post
    I totally agree that bear market drops can be very deep and in fact I believe the next one could take the market down 60% if there is a parabolic rise in the not too distant future. I believe that the current market volatility is a standard correction. I expect that there will be new S & P/DOW highs hit before a larger bear market drop occurs, perhaps as early as 2019.
    I do not believe Western Central banks will allow big drops, they will intervene and buy the drops. The EcB already bought and still buys. All financial systems are monitored and the system cannot allow another 2008 to happen.

    The West is a world of consumption, the East a world of production, in the end the trade deficits will bend the hands of the currencies and producers won't accept anymore the artificial value of these western currencies. There will be an arbiter and that will be gold, like it or not.

    Golditiki2+++

  10. #50
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    Quote Originally Posted by Redrum View Post
    I totally agree that bear market drops can be very deep and in fact I believe the next one could take the market down 60% if there is a parabolic rise in the not too distant future. I believe that the current market volatility is a standard correction. I expect that there will be new S & P/DOW highs hit before a larger bear market drop occurs, perhaps as early as 2019.

    Facts are facts and the conditions are your best allies.
    Jesse Livermore-Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

    My note: Between opinions and facts, I always give priority to facts.

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