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  1. Replies
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    To brutus2 "Illusions are everywhere until you...

    To brutus2

    "Illusions are everywhere until you dig into numbers."

    So true. I really like that
  2. Replies
    681
    Views
    328,821

    To brutus2 "Illusions are everywhere until you...

    To brutus2

    "Illusions are everywhere until you dig into numbers."

    So true. I really like that
  3. Replies
    681
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    328,821

    Well, there is debt and there is debt. If a...

    Well, there is debt and there is debt.

    If a household is in debt it is bad because its debt does consume money.

    If a corporation is in debt it might be not a bad thing. The corporation uses...
  4. Replies
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    In China it is customary to buy homes (houses,...

    In China it is customary to buy homes (houses, apartments) before
    they were built.

    Big developers have difficulties to pay their loans and stopped building
    homes, already sold.

    The people...
  5. Replies
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    I have looked at a chart showing the relationship...

    I have looked at a chart showing the relationship between
    interest rates and the market index SP 500.

    It does not look like SP 500 was much affected by interest rates.
    ...
  6. Replies
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    This is an interesting compendium about the goods...

    This is an interesting compendium about the goods hardest
    hit by inflation.

    Energy commodities are most affected.
    ...
  7. Replies
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    China: the yield on junk bonds has reached 21 %. ...

    China: the yield on junk bonds has reached 21 %.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/unprecedented-liquidity-pressure-chinese-property-stocks-crater-kaisa-misses-payment

    This is an all time...
  8. Replies
    681
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    328,821

    Central bank of Australia loses control of bond...

    Central bank of Australia loses control of bond yields.

    Bond market suffers heavy losses.
    ...
  9. Replies
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    China defaults threaten its bond market, 12 $...

    China defaults threaten its bond market, 12 $ trillion.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/china-credit-tracker/?srnd=markets-vp&sref=eo0IIyEe
  10. Replies
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    Global power grids breaking....

    Global power grids breaking.
    -------------------------------

    California-risk of blackouts

    China-industrial heartland-rationing electricity

    Droughts are drying up reservoirs from Brazil to...
  11. Replies
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    During the Weimar Republic inflation was high....

    During the Weimar Republic inflation was high. Common knowledge.

    Less known is that speculation in stock exchange was rampant:
    ...
  12. Replies
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    In Western Europe banks are turning away cash...

    In Western Europe banks are turning away cash deposits.
    If you want to keep cash in the bank, you have to pay 0.50 % fees.
    ...
  13. Replies
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    Central Bank of China warns of financial risks....

    Central Bank of China warns of financial risks. Big "oscillations" in the
    prices of stocks and bonds and the risk of default for real estate companies.
    (over leveraged)
    ...
  14. Replies
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    The debts (federal, state, individual,...

    The debts (federal, state, individual, corporation...) are huge.
    How can they be serviced at higher interest rates ? Hard to say but
    in my opinion there are open a few avenues: 1) default 2) change...
  15. Replies
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    Prepare yourself for higher interest rates,...

    Prepare yourself for higher interest rates, necessary to beat inflation.

    Once the yield of the treasury 10-years has taken the formidable resistance
    at 1.37 % - 1.47 % , the way is cleared for...
  16. Replies
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    Why in the world would you like to buy bonds ? ...

    Why in the world would you like to buy bonds ?

    This is a report by Ray Dalio:

    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-world-would-you-own-bonds-when-ray-dalio/

    A few points:

    ----low bond...
  17. Replies
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    Here you have the link: ...

    Here you have the link:

    https://www.thestar.com/politics/political-opinion/2021/03/13/mark-carney-wants-to-talk-about-canadas-future-not-his.html
  18. Replies
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    Mark Carney is a former Governor of the Bank of...

    Mark Carney is a former Governor of the Bank of Canada and former
    Governor of the Bank of England.

    Here is what he says about the greed of the markets:

    "Re the financial crisis of 2008-2009,...
  19. Replies
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    Chinese state firms in trouble. Five central...

    Chinese state firms in trouble.

    Five central state government linked companies defaulted on their bonds.

    In the secondary market, the average yield of more than
    700 of (local) state owned...
  20. Replies
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    The future of financial markets. Just a few...

    The future of financial markets.

    Just a few revealing charts, which point the way.

    I mention only:

    ----Global debt Q1 2020 = 258 trillion US $, or 331 % of global GDP

    ----Average...
  21. Replies
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    Not Zimbabwe, but here. These are commodities...

    Not Zimbabwe, but here. These are commodities prices.

    https://tradingeconomics.com/commodities
  22. Replies
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    No inflation ? Monthly data: Cheese + 68...

    No inflation ?

    Monthly data:

    Cheese + 68 %
    Milk +71 %
    Poultry + 19 %
  23. Replies
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    World Economic Forum, Davos, Switzerland January...

    World Economic Forum, Davos, Switzerland January 2021
    -----------------------------------------------------------------

    The Great Reset.

    The leaders recognize the immensity of the problems...
  24. Replies
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    From the official arbiter NBER-National Bureau of...

    From the official arbiter NBER-National Bureau of Economic Research:

    The longest expansion starting June 2009 is over. In February 2020 USA
    entered recession.
    ...
  25. Replies
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    Well, the debt really matters. Here you have an...

    Well, the debt really matters. Here you have an essay by Ray Dalio:

    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/changing-value-money-ray-dalio/?published=t

    A few points:

    Ways out of a debt crisis:...
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